2016 MLB Draft Scouting Report: Anthony Kay

By: Burke Granger

Anthony Kay – LHP – Connecticut.  6’0″ 187.  Class: Junior.  DOB:  March 21, 1995.  Last Drafted:  2013 (New York Mets – 29th Round).

Scouted: University of Connecticut @ University of Cincinnati.  Cincinnati, Ohio.  4.8.16.

Kay hails from Ward Melville High School in Long Island, the same school that produced Steven Matz.  Like Matz, Kay was selected by the New York Mets out of high school, though Kay followed through on his college commitment and attended UConn.

Growing up a Yankees fan, Kay tries to model his game after Andy Pettitte.  Sure, he doesn’t have Pettitte’s 6’5″ frame, but both are strike throwing lefties who rely heavily on their changeup.

Though Kay was drafted out of high school, he really burst onto the scene during his spectacular sophomore campaign.  For the season, Kay was 8-6, 2.07 and allowed just 2 home runs in 100 innings, while walking just 2.25 per 9.

Kay leveraged that success into an opportunity to pitch for the Collegiate National Team last summer.  In 9.1IP in 4 appearances that included 1 start for Team USA, Kay pitched to a  1.93 ERA and struck out 13 to just 1 walk.

This season, Kay’s walk rate has jumped to 2.80 per 9 but his fastball has also ticked up.  Pitching in the low 90’s last year, he’s reportedly been up to 95 mph in a recent start.

STATISTICS

*As of April 12, 2016.

YEAR

CLASS

W-L

ERA

G

S

IP

H

K

BB

2014

Fr.

5-4

3.49

18

2

67

62

56

40

2015

So.

8-6

2.07

17

1

100

73

96

25

2016

Jr.

    9-2    2.65       17       0       119      99      111      37

It’s important to note that I’m not a scout.  I do however actually go to see these guys play live, which is more than you’ll get from many online “Scouting Reports”.  I also talk to scouts when I’m there.  While scouts reserve their reports for their employer, I can share my thoughts with you, the reader.

REPERTOIRE:

Fastball:  Kay worked between 90-93 mph on this outing, and was reportedly 92-95 mph in his previous start.  Kay locates his fastball well to both sides of the plate, taking what the umpire will give him.

Changeup:  His best pitch, Kay will throw his changeup in any count.  Whether sinking or running toward his arm side, this pitch is particularly effective against righties.  When throwing the changeup, Kay’s arm speed is consistent with is fastball.  Thrown between 82-85 mph, this already advanced pitch will only get better if the fastball velocity continues to trick upward when the warmer weather comes.

Curveball:  While the curveball is Kay’s third best offering, it has a tight spin, sharp break  and flashes average potential.  Thrown at 79-81 mph, Kay leans on this pitch significantly less often than his changeup.

DELIVERY:  Kay is on the smaller side with above average velocity, so I wasn’t terribly surprised to see some effort in the delivery.  For most of the start, Kay showed a simple repeatable delivery, generating power from his backside.  Late in the outing, Kay wasn’t finishing his release, remaining upright after the ball left his hand causing the ball to sail and the velocity to dip.  Kay owns a great move to first base, and has picked off 7 runners over the last two seasons.

FUTURE:  Kay entered the season ranked by most publications in the 20-30 range among college draft prospects, but his stock is on the rise given the recent uptick in velocity.  If he can establish his breaking ball and improve his stamina, I view Kay as a mid to backend starter.  If that doesn’t happen, Kay could still find success at the major league level as a two pitch lefty specialist.

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One thought on “2016 MLB Draft Scouting Report: Anthony Kay

  1. Pingback: Live Blogging the 2016 MLB Draft | Prospect Junkies

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