2016 MLB Draft Scouting Report: Dane Dunning

By: Burke Granger

Dane Dunning – RHP – Florida. 6’3″ 205. Class: Junior. DOB: 12.20.94. Last Drafted: 2013 – Toronto Blue Jays (34th Round).

Scouted:

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats – March 25, 2016.  Lexington, Kentucky.

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats – March 27, 2016.  Lexington, Kentucky.

In previous write ups, I’ve mentioned how Florida plucked A.J. Puk from Iowa, and Buddy Reed from Rhode Island.  They didn’t need to go as far to recruit Dane Dunning.  Pitching for Clay High School, just 50 miles away from Gainesville, Dunning earned All-State honors and was ranked as the 490th best player in the 2013 draft by Baseball America.

Dunning played sparingly as a freshman, managing just 21 innings over 16 games, 15 of which were relief appearances.  As a sophomore, Dunning became a much more integral part of the team.  In 16 appearances and 14 starts, Dunning was a part of the weekend rotation for most of the season and held his own with a 5-2 record, 4.03 ERA while allowing just 48 hits in 60.1 innings.

A member of the deepest pitching staff in the nation, Dunning moved to the bullpen in 2016, often bridging the gap between Florida’s staff, (made up of three potential first rounders – Logan Shore, A.J. Puk and Alex Faedo) and closer Shaun Anderson who’s a top round candidate in his own right.

*Statistics as of 5.24.16

YEAR

CLASS

W-L

ERA

G

S

IP

H

K

BB

2014

Fr.

1-1

5.14

16

0

21

15

27

11

2015

So.

5-2

4.03

16

0

60.1

48

55

23

2016

Jr.

4-2

2.98

25

2

57.1

53

69

10

REPERTOIRE

Fastball:  An above average pitch, Dunning’s fastball sat at 92-95 mph with late sinking life in the two multi-inning relief appearances in which I was in attendance.

Slider:  Dunning has a sharp late breaking slider that looks to me like a potential average pitch.

Changeup: While not needed as frequently out of the pen, Dunning has feel for a changeup that flashes above average.  With arm side movement at 81-83 mph, Dunning throws this pitch with very similar arm speed to his fastball.

Control/Command:  Pitching primarily out of the pen in 2016, Dunning has increased his K/9 rate from 8.20 to 10.83 while halving his BB/9 rate from 3.43 to 1.57.  Consistently working around the strike zone, Dunning’s misses are often in the zone and up.

DELIVERY:  I wouldn’t call Dunning’s delivery violent, but it’s not without effort.  Coming from a high 3/4 arm slot, Dunning employs consistent arm speed and release points on each of his pitches.

FUTURE:  Dunning would serve as the Friday starter on most of the teams I’ve seen this Spring and should be given the opportunity to start as a professional.  I view Dunning’s ceiling as a mid-rotation starter with a fairly high floor as an impact reliever.

DISCLAIMER: It’s important to note that I’m not a scout.  I don’t have the training or expertise that they do.  I do, however, actually go to see these guys play live, which is more than you’ll get from many online “Scouting Reports”.  I also talk to scouts when I’m there.  While scouts reserve their reports for their employer, I can share my thoughts with you, the reader.

Advertisements

One thought on “2016 MLB Draft Scouting Report: Dane Dunning

  1. Pingback: Live Blogging the 2016 MLB Draft | Prospect Junkies

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s