Mock Drafts: Baseball America & MLB Pipeline

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Tis the season for Mock Drafts, and late last week Baseball America and MLB Pipeline released their latest iterations.

By: Burke Granger

As mentioned a couple weeks ago, Prospect Junkies won’t be doing a Mock Draft this season. As we lead up to first day of the MLB Draft on June 9th, however, we want to use this site as forum to analyze Mock Drafts released by some of the industry leaders to see where we can gain some consensus and where we can examine some deviation.

Last week, John Manuel editor-in-chief at Baseball America, posted his latest Mock Draft, the 4th such edition that Baseball America has released.  Meanwhile, MLB Pipeline‘s Jonathan Mayo released his second full mock draft as well.  These are two of the foremost draft experts in the country and thus we wanted to take an opportunity to examine their thoughts.

Not to be outdone, ESPN’s Keith Law released his Mock Draft 2.o as did Frankie Piliere of D1Baseball, but since they’re available to subscribers only, I did not recreate them below.  As always, please visit the respective sites for source material and commentary.

MLB Pipeline, ESPN, and D1 Baseball all had Florida’s A.J. Puk going to Philadelphia #1 overall and that was before his strong performance against LSU in the SEC tournament in front of a healthy contingent of Phillies scouts.  For the outing, Puk went 7.1 innings, 6 hits, 2 runs, 2 walks while striking out 7.  Baseball America went with prep outfielder Mickey Moniak of La Costa Canyon (Calif.) as the top choice.  Moniak is regarded as having one of the better hit tools in the draft, but I suspect that if he comes off the board first, it means Philadelphia has cut a pre-draft deal and will be gunning for additional upside and perhaps a difficult sign at pick 42.

There doesn’t appear to be much industry consensus at the #2 pick.  ESPN and Baseball America believe that the Reds will take Puk if he falls and I don’t blame them.  Puk is the top player I’ve put eyes on this season in a list that includes Mercer’s Kyle Lewis and Louisville’s Corey Ray.  Both Lewis and Ray are candidates for the Reds at #2, as is Tennessee’s Nick Senzel.

If Lewis goes to the Reds at #2, Ray seems to be the popular choice at #3, though that’s also the first time you start seeing New Jersey prep lefty Jason Groome’s name.  Groome, along with Riley Pint, a Kansas high school product with a thunderbolt for a right arm, have perhaps the most upside in this draft but there has been a spotty track record at best among recent elite prep arms in the draft.  That’s another article for another day.

Some interesting quick hits from these recent mocks:

  • Baseball America has Stanford’s Cal Quantrill going 8th overall to San Diego.  Having missed all of the 2016 season as he recovers from Tommy John surgery, Quantrill is one of the bigger wildcards in this draft.
  • Baseball America has Louisville closer Zack Burdi going 12th overall while MLB Pipeline doesn’t have him listed in the first round.  Burdi is a flame throwing righty who works in the upper 90s with his fastball who may have the chance to start as a professional.
  • In a draft weak on catchers, Baseball America has Louisville’s Will Smith sneaking into the first round.  I’ve seen Smith several times over the past few years and while he’s always had decent defensive tools, he’s started to put it together offensively late this season, improving his stock with a few home runs in the ACC tournament last weekend.

Prospect Junkies has been able do write ups and get video on many of the prospects noted on each list below.  Those we’ve seen, we linked back to our scouting reports.

Baseball America
John Manuel
May 27, 2016

MLB.com
Jonathan Mayo
May 26, 2016

1

Phillies

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Mickey Moniak, OF, La Costa Canyon HS

A.J. Puk, LHP, Florida

2

Reds

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A.J. Puk, LHP, Florida

Nick Senzel, 3B, Tennessee

3

Braves

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Corey Ray, OF, Louisville

Kyle Lewis, OF, Mercer

4

Rockies

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Kyle Lewis, OF, Mercer

Jason Groome, LHP, Barnegat (N.J.) H.S.

5

Brewers

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Riley Pint, RHP, St. Thomas Aquinas (Kan.)

Delvin Perez, SS, Intl. Baseball Academy (P.R.)

6

Athletics

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Jason Groome, LHP, Barnegat (N.J.) H.S.

Mickey Moniak, OF, La Costa Canyon HS

7

Marlins

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Delvin Perez, SS, Intl. Baseball Academy (P.R.)

Braxton Garrett, LHP, Foley HS, Ala.

8

Padres

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Cal Quantrill, RHP, Stanford

Forrest Whitley, RHP, Alamo Heights, Texas

9

Tigers

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Nick Senzel, 3B, Tennessee

Riley Pint, RHP, St. Thomas Aquinas (Kan.)

10

White Sox

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Zack Collins, C, Miami

Blake Rutherford, OF, Chaminade Prep (Calif.)

11

Mariners

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Justin Dunn, RHP, Boston College

Corey Ray, OF, Louisville

12

Red Sox

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Zack Burdi, RHP, Louisville

Zack Collins, C, Miami

13

Rays

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Blake Rutherford, OF, Chaminade Prep (Calif.)

Dakota Hudson, RHP, Mississippi State

14

Indians

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Ian Anderson, RHP, Shenendehowa HS N.Y.

Alex Kirilloff, OF, Plum HS, Pittsburgh

15

Twins

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Dakota Hudson, RHP, Mississippi State

Matt Manning, RHP, Sheldon HS (Calif.)

16

Angels

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Alex Kirilloff, OF, Plum HS, Pittsburgh

Justin Dunn, RHP, Boston College

17

Astros

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T.J. Zeuch, RHP, Pittsburgh

Cody Sedlock, RHP, Illinois

18

Yankees

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Matt Thaiss, C, Virginia

Ian Anderson, RHP, Shenendehowa HS N.Y.

19

Mets

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Will Craig, 3B, Wake Forest

Will Craig, 3B, Wake Forest

20

Dodgers

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Jordan Sheffield, RHP, Vanderbilt

Jordan Sheffield, RHP, Vanderbilt

21

Blue Jays

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Bryan Reynolds, OF, Vanderbilt

Taylor Trammell, OF, Mount Paran (Ga.)

22

Pirates

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Taylor Trammell, OF, Mount Paran (Ga.)

Nolan Jones, 3B, Holy Ghost Prep (Pa.)

23

Cardinals

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Matt Manning, RHP, Sheldon HS (Calif.)

T.J. Zeuch, RHP, Pittsburgh

24

Padres

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Josh Lowe, 3B, Pope HS (Ga.)

Cal Quantrill, RHP, Stanford

25

Padres

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Forrest Whitley, RHP, Alamo Heights, Texas

Gavin Lux, SS, Indian Trail (Wis.)

26

White Sox

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Eric Lauer, LHP, Kent State

Matt Thaiss, C, Virginia

27

Orioles

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Nolan Jones, SS, Holy Ghost Prep (Pa.)

Eric Lauer, LHP, Kent State

28

Nationals

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Robert Tyler, RHP, Georgia

Drew Mendoza, 3B, Lake Minneola, (Fla.)

29

Nationals

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Braxton Garrett, LHP, Foley HS, Ala.

Jesus Luzardo, LHP, Stoneman Douglas Fla.

30

Rangers

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Will Benson, OF, Westminster (Ga.)

Josh Lowe, 3B, Pope HS (Ga.)

31

Mets

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Gavin Lux, SS, Indian Trail (Wis.)

Chris Okey, C, Clemson

32

Dodgers

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Kyle Muller, LHP, Dallas Jesuit Prep (Tex.)

Will Benson, OF, Westminster (Ga.)

33

Cardinals

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Cody Sedlock, RHP, Illinois

Buddy Reed, OF, Florida

34

Cardinals

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Will Smith, C, Louisville

Alec Hansen, RHP, Oklahoma

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