Scouting Report: Yonder Alonso – 1B – CIN

Yonder Alonso – 1B – Cincinnati Reds. Bats: L Throws: R 6’2″ 210. DOB: 1.8.87. College: Miami (FL) Drafted: 1st Round (7th Overall) 2008.


Scouted: Louisville Bats @ Columbus Clippers 6.1.10 (In Person)


The Twins selected Alonso as a catcher in the 16th round of the 2005 draft, but he opted to go to Miami where he had a prolific college career as a first baseman. After leading the Canes to Omaha as a junior, the Reds used the 7th overall pick on Alonso and signed him to big league contract at the deadline.

Stuck behind NL MVP Joey Votto at first base, the Reds experimented with Alonso in left field in both AA and AAA last season to the tune of 30 total games. Alonso made one error and had an impressive 4 assists as an outfielder, but he’s just not fast enough to play out there at the MLB level.


College Stats

Year

Age

Class

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2006

19

FR

66

244

48

72

18

0

10

69

4

1

32

37

.295

.373

.492

2007

20

SO

61

210

57

79

13

1

18

74

13

3

64

31

.376

.519

.705

2008

21

JR

64

211

80

78

12

1

24

72

9

6

76

35

.370

.534

.777


Minor League Stats

Year

Age

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2008

21

A+

6

25

1

6

1

0

0

2

0

0

5

5

.316

.440

.368

2009

22

A+/AA

84

295

33

86

24

0

9

52

1

1

41

46

.292

.374

.464

2010

23

AA/AAA

132

507

69

147

36

2

15

69

13

3

56

92

.290

.362

.458

TOT

222

821

103

239

61

2

24

123

14

4

102

143

.291

.368

.458

Major League Stats

Year

Age

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

23

MLB

22

29

2

6

2

0

0

3

0

0

0

10

.207

.207

.276

It’s important to note that getting one live look doesn’t provide nearly enough information to produce a true scouting report, but that’s not going to stop me from giving you my report anyway.

HITTING: Alonso is a patient hitter who knows the strike zone well. His appeal is his above average BB% and his relatively low K% for a slugger. My big concern with Alonso has always been his ability to hit LHP, as he struggled in that area in college and in his first full year as a professional. Last year, however, Alonso hit a respectable .269 v. LHP in AAA and .273 v. LHP in AA.

POWER: Alonso has plus power to all fields and uses his patience to punish pitches in the zone.

SPEED: Alonso has well below average speed.

ARM: The arm is average and adequate at first base.

DEFENSE: The Reds have tried Alonso at third base and left field and there’s no denying that he’s a first baseman and nothing more. While he’s not fast, he’s athletic enough that he could develop into an above average defender at first base.

FUTURE: Though he received a late season promotion during Cincinnati’s pennate race, Yonder is clearly blocked by one of the National League’s best players. I anticipated that the Reds would have attempted to use an Alonso headlined package to secure a left fielder this off season but that hasn’t happened. Alonso will almost certainly start the season in AAA to garner consistent playing time and baring a Joey Votto injury, he’ll stay in Louisville until the contending Reds want to buy at at the deadline.

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Scouting Report: Desmond Jennings – OF – TB

Desmond Jennings – CF – Tampa Bay Rays. Bats: R Throws: R 6’2″ 180. DOB: 10.30.86. College: Itawamba CC (MS) Drafted: 10th Round 2006

Scouted: Durham Bulls @ Columbus Clippers 5.14.10 (In Person)

The Devil Rays changed the course of their brief history in 2006 when they used the 3rd overall pick on Evan Longoria, but 9 rounds later they selected another player with star ability. A decorated wide receiver at Itawamba CC, Jennings’ athletic ability is apparent to all observers. Jennings’ speed/plate discipline combination captured my attention years ago and I was so high on him last season that he came in at #3 on my top 100 prospects list. While 2010 was a success, Jennings didn’t duplicate his impressive 2009 campaign and will enter 2011 as my #3 outfielder. Jennings had some trouble staying healthy early in his professional career but the past two seasons have been generally incident free.

Minor League Stats

Year

Age

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2006

19

RK

56

213

48

59

10

1

4

20

32

5

22

39

.277

.360

.390

2007

20

A-

99

387

75

122

21

5

9

37

45

15

45

53

.315

.401

.465

2008

21

A+

24

85

17

22

5

1

2

6

5

2

14

16

.259

.360

.412

2009

22

AA-AAA

132

497

92

158

31

10

11

62

52

7

67

67

.318

.401

.487

2010

23

AAA

109

399

82

111

25

6

3

36

37

4

47

67

.278

.362

.393

TOT

420

1581

314

472

92

23

29

161

171

33

195

242

.299

.384

.441

Major League Stats

Year

Age

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

23

MLB

17

24

5

4

1

1

0

2

2

2

2

4

.190

.292

.333

It’s important to note that getting one live look doesn’t provide nearly enough information to produce a true scouting report, but that’s not going to stop me from giving you my report anyway.

HITTING: Jennings excels with pitch recognition which bodes well for his future projection as a player capable of hitting at a high average, but one minor point of concern is that the right handed hitting Jennings hit just .198 against lefties last season.

POWER: After posting a career high .487 slugging percentage in 2009, Jennings slugged just .393 last season. It’s possible that a wrist injury he battled through limited Jennings’ power, but while he was once projected to develop average power, I just don’t see it. He has a short compact line drive stroke and his wheels will turn singles into doubles but no amount of speed will turn those doubles into home runs.

SPEED: Jennings possesses speed that is truly plus plus and he’s intelligent enough to use it wisely. His CS% is consistently low and the International League mangers voted regarded him as the top baserunner in the league in 2010. I clocked Jennings at 4.3 seconds from home to 1st base.

ARM: I have not been able to get an accurate first hand look at Jennings arm strength, but all accounts have this tool graded as average.

DEFENSE: On top of being voted as the best baserunner, Jennings was also voted the most exciting player and the best defensive outfielder in the International League.

FUTURE: The departure of Carl Crawford should create an opening for Jennings where his OBP and stolen base totals while playing for a contender could generate Rookie of the Year buzz.

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2011 Top 5 Relief Pitching Prospects



1. Aroldis Chapman – LHP – CIN – 6’4″ 185 – 2.28.88. Signed: Cuba 2009. Who throws 105 mph? Aroldis Chapman and Sidd Finch, that’s who!

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

IL

AAA

9-6

3.57

39

13

1

0

8

95.2

77

52

125

1.348

2010

NL

MLB

2-2

2.03

15

0

0

0

0

13.1

9

5

19

1.050


2. Chris Sale – LHP – CHW – 6’5″ 170 – 3.30.89. College: Florida Gulf Coast Drafted: 1st Round (13th Overall) 2010. Sale’s long term future may be in a rotation but he shouldn’t leave the bullpen anytime soon. Like Chapman, Sale can help a contender win now so his long term development is secondary.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

CAR

A+

0-0

2.25

4

0

0

0

0

4

3

2

4

1.250

2010

IL

AAA

0-0

2.84

7

0

0

0

0

6.1

3

4

15

1.105

2010

AL

MLB

2-1

1.93

21

0

0

0

4

23.1

15

10

32

1.071

3. Kenley Jansen – RHP – LAD – 6’6″ 220 – 9.30.87. Signed: Curacao 2004. We all remember Jansen as a light hitting riffle armed catcher on the Netherlands WBC team that shocked the Dominican Republic. Now a pitcher, Jansen posted 15.6 K/9 in minors and 13.7 K/9 majors in 2010. If Jon Broxton can’t fix his noggin, Jansen might be closing by year end.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

CAL

A+

1-1

1.50

11

0

0

0

0

18

15

6

28

1.167

2010

SO

AA

4-0

1.67

22

0

0

0

8

27

14

17

50

1.148

2010

NL

MLB

1-0

0.67

25

0

0

0

4

27

12

15

41

1.00

4. Tanner Scheppers – RHP – TEX – 6’4″ 200 – 1.17.87. College: Fresno State Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (44th Overall) 2009. Scheppers was part of the 2008 Fresno State National Championship team but was hurt down the stretch which caused the top 10 talent to slide to the Pirates in the 2nd round. He didn’t sign, made a few appearances in Indy Ball and improved his stock the following year.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

TL

AA

0-0

0.82

6

0

0

0

2

11

3

0

19

0.273

2010

PCL

AAA

1-3

5.48

30

7

0

0

4

69

82

30

71

1.623

2010

TOT

2Lgs

1-3

4.84

36

7

0

0

6

80

85

30

90

1.438

5. Craig Kimbrel – RHP – ATL – 5’11” 200 – 5.28.88. College: Wallace State CC (AK) Drafted: 3rd Round 2008. The retirement of Billy Wagner could spell Rookie of the Year for Kimbrel.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

IL

AAA

3-2

1.62

48

0

0

0

23

55.2

28

35

83

1.132

2010

NL

MLB

4-0

0.44

21

0

0

0

1

20.1

9

16

40

1.210

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2011 Top 30 Starting Pitching Prospects

1. Julio Teheran – RHP – ATL – 6’2″ 150 – 1.27.91. Signed: Columbia 2007. Teheran has everything you look for in a pitcher. A live arm that consistently produces mid 90’s fastballs, good secondary stuff and command of all pitches.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SAL

A-

2-2

1.14

7

7

0

0

0

39.1

23

10

45

0.839

2010

CAR

A+

4-4

2.98

10

10

0

0

0

63.1

56

13

76

1.089

2010

SO

AA

3-2

3.28

7

7

0

0

0

40.0

29

17

38

1.150

2010

TOT

3Lgs

9-8

2.59

24

24

0

0

0

142.2

108

40

159

1.037

2. Jeremy Hellickson – RHP – TB – 6’1″ 185 – 4.8.87. High School: Des Moines (IA) Drafted: 4th Round 2005. The Matt Garza trade to the Cubs opens up a rotation spot for last year’s Minor League Player of the Year. I had the pleasure of watching Hellickson pitch last year, click here for my scouting report.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

IL

AAA

12-3

2.45

21

21

0

0

0

117.2

103

35

123

1.173

2010

AL

MLB

4-0

3.47

10

4

0

0

0

36.1

32

8

33

1.101

3. Michael Pineda – RHP – SEA – 6’5″ 250 – 1.18.89. Signed: Dominican Republic 2005. Just as I’m partial to patient hitter, I’m a sucker for power pitchers especially when they throw 100, and post a K/9 of 9.9 to just 2.2 BB/9.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SL

AA

8-1

2.22

13

13

0

0

0

77

67

17

78

1.091

2010

PCL

AAA

3-3

4.76

12

12

0

0

0

62.1

54

17

76

1.139

2010

TOT

2Lgs

11-4

3.36

25

25

0

0

0

139.1

121

34

154

1.112

4. Jamison Taillon – RHP – PIT – 6’5″ 225 – 11.18.91. High School: Woodlands (TX) Drafted: 1st Round (2nd Overall) 2010. Had Bryce Harper not decided to forgo his junior and senior year of high school to attend junior college in order to become draft eligible a year early, Taillon would have been the first overall pick last year. He’ll join Stetson Allie at the Pirates loaded Low A West Virginia affiliate.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

HS

8-1

1.78

11

62

42

21

114

5. Matt Moore – LHP – TB – 6’2″ 205 – 6.18.89. High School: Edgewood (NM) Drafted: 8th Round 2007. All Moore has done is lead the minor leagues in strikeouts in each of the past two years. From 2007-2010 he’s posted K/9 ratios of 12.8, 12.8, 12.9 and 12.9.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

6-11

3.36

26

26

0

0

0

144.2

109

61

208

1.175

6. Zach Britton – LHP – BAL – 6’3″ 195 – 12.22.87. High School: Weatherford (TX) Drafted: 3rd Round 2006. It should also be noted that I’m a sucker for lefties with plus change ups and Britton possesses just that.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

EL

AA

7-3

2.48

15

14

0

0

0

87

76

28

68

1.195

2010

IL

AAA

3-4

2.98

12

12

0

0

0

66.1

63

23

56

1.296

2010

TOT

2Lgs

10-7

2.70

27

26

0

0

0

153.1

139

51

124

1.239

7. Shelby Miller – RHP – STL – 6’3″ 195 – 10.10.90. High School: Brownwood (TX) Drafted: 1st Round (19th Overall) 2009. The 2009 draft was loaded with prep pitching talent and Miller had the most impressive debut among his peers. He posted a dominant 12.1 K/9 in the Midwest League on his way to being named the league’s #2 prospect.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

7-5

3.62

24

24

0

0

0

104.1

97

33

140

1.246

8. Jarrod Parker – RHP – ARI – 6’1″ 180 – 11.24.88. High School: Ossian (IN) Drafted: 1st Round (9th Overall) 2007. Parker was on his way to becoming one of the top prospects in baseball before having Tommy John surgery. He’s now back and will start the year in AA.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2009

CAL

A+

1-0

0.95

4

4

0

0

0

19

12

4

21

0.842

2009

SO

AA

4-6

3.68

16

16

0

0

0

78.1

82

34

74

1.481

2009

TOT

2 Lgs

5-6

3.14

20

20

0

0

0

97.1

94

38

95

1.356

9. Jacob Turner – RHP – DET – 6’5″ 210 – 5.21.91. High School: St. Charles (MO) Drafted: 1st Round (9th Overall) 2009.Turner drew Rick Porcello comps for his size, stuff and bonus demands and ended up with the same Detroit Tigers. Here’s hoping the Tigers don’t have Turner skip AA and AAA like they did with Porcello.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

2-3

3.67

11

10

0

0

0

54

53

9

51

1.148

2010

FSL

A+

4-2

2.93

13

13

0

0

0

61.1

53

14

51

1.148

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

6-5

3.28

24

23

0

0

0

115.1

106

23

102

1.118

10. Martin Perez – LHP – TEX – 6’0″ 180 – 4.4.91. Signed: Venezuela 2007. Perez had a rough go at AA in 2010 but he did it as a 19 year old. I haven’t lost faith.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

TL

AA

5-8

5.96

24

23

0

0

0

99.2

117

50

101

1.676

11. Kyle Drabek – RHP – TOR – 6’1″ 190 – 12.8.87. High School: Victoria (TX) Drafted: 1st Round (18th Overall) 2006. Like Parker, Drabek is a brave Tommy John survivor. He has a chance to make the Jays rotation out of spring training and even if he doesn’t, he’ll still get around 20 MLB starts.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

EL

AA

14-9

2.94

27

27

1

1

0

162

126

68

132

1.198

2010

AL

MLB

0-3

4.76

3

3

0

0

0

17

18

5

12

1.353

12. Randall Delgado – RHP – ATL – 6’3″ 165 – 2.9.90. Signed: Panama 2006. Delgado draws comparisons to his farmmate Julio Teheran because of his electric arm and strikeout ability. Like Teheran he has 3 potential plus pitches and controls them well. He’ll start the 2011 season in AA and could be in Atlanta by season’s end.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

CAR

A+

4-7

2.76

20

20

0

0

0

117.1

89

32

120

1.031

2010

SO

AA

3-5

4.74

8

8

0

0

0

43.2

36

20

42

1.282

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

7-12

3.30

28

28

0

0

0

161

125

52

162

1.099

13. Mike Montgomery – LHP – KC – 6’5″ 180 – 7.1.89. High School: Valencia (CA) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (36th Overall) 2008. Like I said, I’m a sucker for lefties who throw a plus change up.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

ARI

Rk

0-1

1.04

3

3

0

0

0

8.2

6

1

7

0.808

2010

CAR

A+

2-0

1.09

4

4

0

0

0

24.2

14

4

33

0.730

2010

TL

AA

5-4

3.47

13

13

0

0

0

59.2

56

26

48

1.374

2010

TOT

3Lgs

7-5

2.61

20

20

0

0

0

93

76

31

88

1.151

14. Tyler Matzek – LHP – COL – 6’3″ 210 – 10.19.90. High School: Mission Viejo (CA) Drafted: 1st Round (11th Overall) 2009. It came down too the 11th hour, but the Rockies signed Matzek away from his Oregon commitment for $3.9MM. Matzek has dominant stuff but his 6.2 BB/9 is a little scary.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SAL

A-

5-1

2.92

18

18

0

0

0

89.1

62

62

88

1.388

15. Kyle Gibson – RHP – MIN – 6’6″ 210 – 10.23.87. College: Missouri Drafted: 1st Round (23rd overall) 2009. Gibson doesn’t possess true ace “stuff” but he’s a good bet to have a solid MLB career.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

4-1

1.87

7

7

1

0

0

43.1

33

12

40

1.038

2010

EL

AA

7-5

3.68

16

16

1

0

0

93

91

22

77

1.215

2010

IL

AAA

0-0

1.72

3

3

0

0

0

15.2

12

5

9

1.085

2010

TOT

3 Lgs

11-6

2.96

26

26

2

1

0

152

136

39

126

1.151

16. Simon Castro – RHP – SD – 6’5″ 210 – 4.9.88. Signed: Dominican Republic 2006. Castro skipped high A and put together a solid campaign in AA ahead of schedule.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

AA

TL

7-6

2.92

24

23

0

0

0

129.2

107

36

107

1.103

2010

AAA

PCL

0-1

7.84

2

2

0

0

0

10.1

16

6

6

2.129

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

7-7

3.28

26

25

0

0

0

140

123

42

113

1.179

17. Zach Wheeler – RHP – SF – 6’3″ 180 – 5.30.90. High School: Dallas (GA) Drafted: 1st Round (6th Overall) 2009. San Francisco’s newest pitching phenom had a solid 2010, his first as a professional. Like Matzek, he’ll need to keep the walks in check.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SAL

A-

3-3

3.99

21

13

0

0

0

58.2

47

38

70

1.449

18. Mike Minor – LHP – ATL – 6’3″ 210 – 12.26.87. College: Vanderbilt Drafted: 1st Round (7th Overall) 2009. The former Commodore was much more dominate in 2010 than I anticipated (10.9 K/9). While he was hit hard after his August 9th call up, he should open the season in Atlanta.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

AA

SO

2-6

4.03

15

15

0

0

0

87

74

34

109

1.241

2010

AAA

IL

4-1

1.89

6

6

0

0

0

33.1

19

12

37

0.930

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

6-7

3.44

21

21

0

0

0

120.1

93

46

146

1.155

2010

NL

MLB

3-2

5.98

9

8

0

0

0

40.2

53

11

43

1.57

19. Jordan Lyles – RHP – HOU – 6’4″ 185 – 10.19.90. High School: Hartsville (SC) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (38th Overall) 2008. I’m not as high on Lyles as most and the reason is primarily the 9.2 H/9 line he’s had in his minor league career.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

TL

AA

7-9

3.12

21

20

1

0

0

127

133

35

115

1.323

2010

PCL

AAA

0-3

5.40

6

6

1

0

0

31.2

48

11

22

1.863

2010

TOT

2Lgs

7-12

3.57

27

26

2

0

0

158.2

181

46

137

1.431

20. Chris Archer – RHP – TB – 6’3″ 180 – 9.26.88. High School: Raleigh (NC) Drafted: 5th Round (Indians). Archer has put together back to back great seasons as a Cubs farm hand. We’ll see if he carries that momentum with him to the Tampa organization.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

7-1

2.86

15

14

0

0

0

72.1

54

26

82

1.106

2010

SO

AA

8-2

1.80

13

13

0

0

0

70

48

39

67

1.243

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

15-3

2.34

28

27

0

0

0

142.1

102

65

149

1.173

21. Jenrry Mejia – RHP – NYM – 6’0″ 160 – 10.11.89. Signed: Dominican Republic 2007. I’m not a fan of the way the Mets handled Mejia in 2010, but he’ll enter 2011 focused on starting. He can always use a future move to the bullpen as plan B.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

GCL

Rk

0-0

3.00

1

1

0

0

0

3

4

1

3

1.667

2010

FSL

A+

0-0

0.00

1

1

0

0

0

4

1

0

7

0.250

2010

EL

AA

2-0

1.32

6

6

1

1

0

27.1

19

14

26

1.207

2010

IL

AAA

0-0

1.12

1

1

0

0

0

8

5

1

9

0.750

2010

TOT

4Lgs

2-0

1.28

9

9

1

1

0

42.1

29

16

45

1.063

2010

NL

MLB

0-4

4.62

33

3

0

0

0

39

46

20

22

1.692

22. Casey Kelly – RHP – SD – 6’3″ 210 – 10.4.89. High School: Sarasota (FL) Drafted: 1st Round (30th Overall) 2008. The Red Sox signed Kelly away from a Tennessee football scholarship with the promise that they’d let him play shortstop. After he fizzled out with the bat, they convinced him to devote himself to the mound. He had a stellar 2009 but stumbled in 2010. Kelly’s stock is still high and he was the centerpiece on a package that landed Adrien Gonzalez.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

EL

AA

3-5

5.31

21

21

0

0

0

95

118

35

81

1.611

23. Jake Odorizzi – RHP – KC – 6’2″ 175 – 3.27.90. High School: Highland (IL) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (32nd Overall). A promising season in the Midwest League propelled Odorizzi be named the top prospect in Milwaukee prior to being shipped to Kansas City as part of a prospect package that returned Zack Greinke.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

7-3

3.43

23

20

0

0

1

120.2

99

40

135

1.152

24. Alex White – RHP – CLE – 6’3″ 200 – 8.29.88. College: North Carolina Drafted: 1st Round (15th Overall) 2009. White led his Tar Heals team to Omaha in 2009 with a mid 90’s fastball and a tumbling splitter. His first full season as a professional was largely successful using that same repertoire. He’ll spend 2011 in AAA Columbus so I’ll have some video soon.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

CAR

A+

2-3

2.86

8

8

0

0

0

44

32

19

41

1.159

2010

EL

AA

8-7

2.28

18

17

0

0

0

106.2

91

27

76

1.106

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

10-10

2.45

26

25

0

0

0

150.2

123

46

117

1.122

25. Dellin Betances – NYY – RHP – 6’8″ 245 – 3.23.88. High School: New York Drafted: 8th Round 2006. Reminds me of Seattle’s Michael Pineda. Maybe it’s because they’re both built like NFL Tight Ends.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

8-1

1.77

14

14

0

0

0

71

43

19

88

0.873

2010

EL

AA

0-0

3.77

3

3

0

0

0

14.1

10

3

20

0.907

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

8-1

2.11

17

17

0

0

0

85.1

53

22

108

0.879

26. Drew Pomeranz – LHP – CLE – 6’5″ 230 – 11.22.88. College: Mississippi Drafted: 1st Round (#5 overall) 2010. The 2010 college pitching draft class provided good depth and star power at the front and I think Pomeranz is the best in the bunch.

Year

Class

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2008

FR

SEC

4-3

4.16

17

11

0

0

0

71

76

30

81

1.49

2009

SO

SEC

8-4

3.40

16

16

2

0

0

95

85

37

124

1.28

2010

JR

SEC

9-2

2.24

16

16

0

0

0

100

71

49

139

1.19

27. A.J. Cole – RHP – WAS – 6’4 180 – 1.5.92. High School: Winter Springs (FL) Drafted: 4th Round 2010. The Nationals secured their draft A grade on their 2010 draft by signing Cole away from his Miami (FL) commitment for $2,000.000.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

NYP

Rk

0-0

0.00

1

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

2.000

28. Tyler Skaggs – LHP – ARI – 6’4″ 195 – 7.13.91. High School: Venice (CA) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (40th Overall – LAA) 2009. Skaggs was on his way to having a breakout year when the Angles sent him and Joe Saunders to Arizona for Dan Haren and he didn’t slow down when he switched teams.

Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

9-5

3.29

23

18

0

0

0

98.1

91

25

102

1.180

29. Anthony Ranaudo – BOS – 6’7″ 230 – 9.9.89. College: LSU Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (39th Overall) 2010. Ranaudo entered the 2010 season in a three horse race with Bryce Harper and Jamison Taillon but stumbled out of the gate. Shoulder soreness sidelined him early and he wasn’t able to get on track upon his return. I still like his potential to become a Roy Halliday type work horse, but he’s no sure thing to get there.

Year

Class

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2008

FR

NCAA

1-0

0.00

8

1

0

0

0

12

5

6

13

0.92

2009

SO

NCAA

12-3

3.04

19

19

0

0

0

124

93

50

159

1.15

2010

JR

NCAA

5-3

7.32

15

11

0

0

0

51

60

27

54

1.68

30. Stetson Allie – RHP – PIT – 6’2″ 220 – 3.13.91. High School: St. Edward (OH) Drafted: 2nd Round 2010. I went back and forth on whether or not to include Allie on this list. I’ve gotta respect prep arms that can hit triple digits, but he’s going to walk a lot of batters. It’ll be a roller coaster ride but it’ll be fun to watch. Click here for my scouting report on Allie.

**No Statistics Available on Allie**

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2011 Top 20 Outfield Prospects

1. Bryce Harper – Bats: L Throws: R – 6’3″ 225 – WAS – 10.16.92. When Tom Verdicci wrote his legendary “Chosen One” article, he opened it with the proclamation, “His name is Bryce Harper. You don’t know him, but every big league scouting director does.” Oh Verdicci you underestimate the prospect community! We were well aware of Harper, who had just been named Baseball America’s High School Player of the Year as a sophomore. Harper’s story is truly remarkable and will go down in baseball history regardless of whether he pans out. My prediction for 2011 is that we’re going to see a high K%. Very high. The K’s will cause a low batting average and he’ll begin to press which will lead to more K’s. Some people not quite as smart as my readers will start calling him a bust prematurely. His true test will be dealing with adversity for the first time in his life. Regardless of the numbers he will produce in 2011, Harper will likely be #1 on this list again in 2012. He’s just that talented.

Year

Class

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2008

FR

HS

11

67

.599

2009

SO

HS

115

76

72

22

9

14

55

36

.626

2010

FR

JUCO

66

228

98

101

23

4

31

98

20

39

43

.443

.526

.987

2010

AFL

9

35

6

12

3

2

1

7

1

4

11

.353

.410

.629

2. Mike Trout – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’1″ 215 – LAA – 8.7.91. A New Jersey prep product, Trout was selected by the Angles with the second of their two first round picks in 2009. Trout’s 2010 season was spectacular as he posted a .918 OPS to go with 56 SB while propelling him into the Minor League Player of the Year discussion. While his legs make him a plus center fielder, his arm is below average so he may be a left fielder by the time he reaches the Major Leagues.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

MW

A-

81

312

76

113

19

7

6

39

45

46

52

.362

.454

.526

2010

CAL

A+

50

196

30

60

9

2

4

19

11

27

33

.306

.388

.434

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

131

508

106

173

28

9

10

58

56

73

85

.341

.428

.490

3. Desmond Jennings – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’2″ 200 – TB – 10.30.86. Jennings appeal to me has always been his patient eye coupled with his stolen base ability, as that combination is much more rare in today’s game than it should be. Jennings has had a well above average BB% throughout his minor league career while stealing 171 bases in just over 4 seasons. He should spend most of 2011 as Carl Crawford’s replacement in left, even if he doesn’t make the team out of spring training.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

IL

AAA

109

399

82

111

25

6

3

36

37

47

67

.278

.363

.393

2010

AL

MLB

17

21

5

4

1

1

0

2

2

2

4

.190

.292

.333

4. Domonic Brown – Bats: L Throws: L – 6’5″ 200 – PHI – 9.3.87. A 20th round pick out of a Georgia HS in 2006, Brown has climbed the prospect rankings year by year. Now a legitimate 5-tool prospect, he’ll be asked to fill Jayson Werth’s shoes and contend for Rookie of the Year on a championship caliber team.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

EL

AA

65

236

50

75

16

3

15

47

12

29

51

.318

.391

.602

2010

IL

AAA

28

107

15

37

6

1

5

21

5

8

23

.346

.390

.561

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

93

343

65

112

22

4

20

68

17

37

74

.327

.391

.589

2010

NL

MLB

35

62

8

13

3

0

2

13

2

5

24

.210

.257

.355

5. Aaron Hicks – Bats: B Throws: R – 6’2″ 185 – MIN – 10.2.89. Let’s face it folks there is a drop off between 4 and 5 but HIcks has legit talent. I’ve been bullish on him since the 2008 draft when I, like many other prospectors, liked him better as a pitcher. While he hasn’t hit for as much power as I feel he’s capable of, Hicks walked at an incredible 17% last season and has posted BB/K ratios of .88, .73 and .79 in his three professional seasons. There’s a lot to like about that.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

115

423

86

118

86

118

27

6

8

49

21

88

112

.279

.401

.428

6. Brett Jackson – Bats: L Throws: R – 6’2″ 210 – CHC – 8.2.88. The Cubs used a 2009 first round pick on Jackson, an athletic outfielder out of Cal. Remember when Cal had a baseball team? If you haven’t figured it out, I’m partial to guys who get on base and Jackson does just that. He posted a .395 OBP and used those on base opportunities to steal 30 bags.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

FSL

A+

67

263

56

83

19

8

6

38

12

43

63

.316

.420

.517

2010

SO

AA

61

228

47

63

13

6

6

28

18

30

63

.276

.366

.465

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

128

491

103

146

32

14

12

66

30

73

126

.297

.395

.493

7. Nick Weglarz – Bats: L Throws: L – 6’3 240 – CLE – 12.16.87. It’s tough for me to look at Nick Weglarz and not think of Adam Dunn. He’s big, he’s powerful to all fields and he takes a ton of walks. A native Canadian, he’s an Olympic and WBC veteran.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

EL

AA

37

137

21

39

10

0

7

27

1

22

26

.285

.387

.511

2010

IL

AAA

50

175

30

50

17

1

6

20

2

28

43

.286

.392

.497

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

87

313

51

89

27

1

13

47

3

50

69

.285

.390

.503

8. Trayvon Robinson – Bats: B Throws: R – 5’11” 195 – LAD – 9.1.87. An intercity Los Angeles product, Robinson was a 10th round pick in 2005. Robinson is a switch hitter who hits for average well against righties (.291) and lefties (.319).

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SO

AA

120

434

80

130

23

5

9

57

38

73

125

.300

.404

.438

9. Engel Beltre – Bats: L Throws: L – 6’2″ 180 – TEX – 11.1.89. Beltre displayed 5 tool ability in his second go around in High A Bakersfield in 2010. While he’s a plus runner, his 9 caught stealings demonstrate a needs to learn the nuances of base running.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

CAL

A+

68

263

38

87

11

4

5

35

10

11

34

.331

.376

.460

2010

TL

AA

47

181

14

46

4

4

1

14

8

10

24

.254

.301

.337

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

115

444

52

133

15

8

6

49

18

21

58

.300

.346

.410

10. Jaff Decker – Bats: L Throws: L – 5’10” 190 – SD – 2.23.90. Power and plate discipline are the calling cards of this oddly shaped and even more oddly spelled prospect. While Decker draws his Matt Stairs comparisons primarily for his body type, like Stairs he walks at a high rate (13.5%) and also strikes out at an equally high rate (27.6%).

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

CAL

A+

79

290

53

76

14

2

17

58

5

47

80

.262

.374

.500

11. Yorman Rodriguez – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’3″ 180 – CIN – 8.15.92. Signed as a 16 year old out of Venezuela, Rodriguez has 5 tool ability. Thankfully walking isn’t an official tool, as his 8 BB in 171 AB’s equal a meager 4.3 BB%. He’ll join 2B Billy Hamilton on a prospect laden Low A Dayton team, where I’ll be able to get a look at him in person.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

PIO

Rk

43

171

25

58

8

3

2

39

12

8

30

.339

.361

.456

12. Anthony Gose – Bats: L Throws: L – 6’1″ 190 – TOR – 8.10.90. Gose was part of a talented group of California prep outfielders in the 2008 draft that included Minnesota’s Aaron Hicks. He led the minor leagues with 76 SB in 2009 but this past season he stole just 45 while being caught an alarming 32 times. Any Sabermetrician, and I’m not claiming to be one, will tell you that the value of a stolen base just isn’t enough to risk when you’re thrown out nearly half the time. Gose was selected by the Phillies in the 2nd round in 2008 before being dealt to Houston in exchange for Roy Oswalt. Houston quickly traded him to the Blue Jays for fellow 2008 draftee, Arizona State’s 3B/1B Brett Wallace.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

FSL

A+

103

418

67

110

17

11

4

21

36

32

103

.263

.325

.385

2010

FSL

A+

27

94

21

24

3

2

3

6

9

13

29

.255

.360

.426

2010

TOT

2Tms

130

512

88

134

20

13

7

27

45

45

132

.262

.332

.393

13. Jared Mitchell – Bats: L Throws: L – 6’0″ 205 – CWS – 10.13.88. Even if Jared Mitchell doesn’t make it to the Major Leagues, he’s already a pretty accomplished young man. Mitchell was a wide receiver on the 2007 LSU national championship team, the College World Series MVP on the 2009 national champion baseball team and a first round pick that same year. Mitchell missed all of 2010 because of a torn tendon in his ankle and his ultimate potential is directly tied to whether or not he can regain his athleticism. Mitchell is patient almost to a fault, often making it difficult for me to discern whether he is truly being patient or just not recognizing pitches in the strike zone.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2009

SAL

A-

34

115

13

34

12

2

0

10

5

23

40

.296

.417

.435

14. Michael Choice – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’0″ 215 – OAK – 11.10.89. Choice rode his DI leading 76 walks to a .568 OBP as a junior at Texas-Arlington. Oakland may be going back to it’s Moneyball routes as they made the on base machine the 10th overall pick in 2010. I’m projecting power and patience on his way to a monster season in the hitters paradise that is the High A California League.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

ARI

Rk

3

7

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

.000

.222

.000

2010

NW

Rk

27

102

20

29

10

2

7

26

6

15

43

.284

.388

.627

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

30

109

21

29

10

2

7

26

6

17

45

.266

.377

.587

15. Xavier Avery – Bats: L Throws: L – 5’11” 180 – BAL – 1.1.90. Avery was part of what is looking like a very promising 2008 Baltimore draft class that included future ace Brian Matusz (1st) and my #8 2B, L.J. Hoes (3rd). Like Hoes, he’s developing rather quickly for a prep draftee and could make an appearance in Baltimore by late 2012.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

CA

A+

109

447

73

125

25

6

4

48

28

42

96

.280

.349

.389

2010

EL

AA

27

107

10

25

6

0

3

18

10

7

34

.234

.288

.374

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

136

554

83

150

31

6

7

66

38

49

130

.271

.337

.386

16. Cesar Puello – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’2″ 195 – NYM – 4.1.91. While I was never officially on the Fernando Martinez bandwagon am officially off and onto Cesar Puello’s “C-Train”. Did I just make that up? It’s certainly no more ridiculous than “F-Mart”! While F-Mart is young enough to turn it around, Puello is young enough that he hasn’t disappointed Mets fans yet. A .292/.375/.359 line is impressive for a teenager in the Low A Sally League.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SAL

A-

109

404

80

118

22

1

1

34

45

32

82

.292

.375

.359

17. Ben Revere – Bats: L Throws: R – 5’9″ 175 – MIN – 5.3.88. In 2007 the Twins shocked the prospecting community when they used a first round pick on the undersized Kentucky prep standout and signed him quickly for just $750,000. A great contact hitter, Revere has hit at least .305 in each of his professional seasons and has never had a K% over 11.4%.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

EL

AA

94

361

44

110

10

4

1

23

36

32

41

.305

.371

.363

2010

AL

MLB

13

28

1

5

0

0

0

2

0

2

5

.179

.233

.179

18. Reymond Fuentes – Bats: L Throws: L – 6’0″ 160 – SD – 2.12.91. Boston made the Puerto Rican born Fuentes a first round pick in 2009 and then recently traded him to San Diego with RHP Casey Kelly and 1B Anthony Rizzo for Adrian Gonzalez. Defensively, Fuentes shines in centerfield but a poor arm could force a future move to left field.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SAL

A-

104

374

59

101

15

5

5

41

42

25

87

.270

.328

.377

19. Christian Yelich – Bats: L Throws: R – 6’4″ 190 – FLA – 12.5.91. A first baseman at Westlake Village HS (CA), Yelich will begin his professional career in the outfield. Yelich was regarded as one of the more advanced prep bats in the 2010 draft.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

GCL

Rk

6

24

3

9

1

1

0

3

1

2

7

.375

.423

.500

2010

SAL

A-

6

23

2

8

2

0

0

2

0

1

6

.348

.375

.435

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

12

47

5

17

3

1

0

5

1

3

13

.362

.400

.468

20. Kyle Parker – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’0″ 200 – COL – 9.30.89. While college athletics has seen many two sport stars, Parker became the first player in collegiate history to throw for 20 TD’s and hit 20 HR. As the 26th overall pick in the 2010 draft, Parker signed at the deadline yet still returned to Clemson for one more season on the gridiron. Now that football is behind him he’ll begin his professional baseball career in 2011 where he’s expected to hit for power.

Year

Class

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

JR

NCAA

67

247

85

85

15

1

20

64

4

56

60

.344

.478

.656

2011 Top 10 Third Basemen Prospects


1. Mike Moustakas – Bats: L Throws: R – 5’11” 230 – KC – 9.11.88. As a high school senior in 2007, Moustakas smacked a California record 24 HR on his way to earning Baseball America’s High School Player of the Year. That power has translated into the professional game as Moustakas has accumulated 74 HR in three minor league seasons. Though he was a shortstop in high school, I questioned his ability to stay in the infield but he’s shown some improvement and was even voted as the top defensive third baseman by the Texas League managers.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

TL

AA

66

259

58

90

25

0

21

76

0

26

42

.347

.413

.687

2010

PCL

AAA

52

225

36

66

16

0

15

48

2

8

25

.293

.314

.564

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

118

484

94

156

41

0

36

124

2

34

67

.322

.369

.630

2. Lonnie Chisenhall – Bats: L Throws: R – 6’1″ 200 – CLE – 10.4.88. Chisenhall stared as a freshman and #3 hitter on the same South Carolina Gamecocks team that included future first rounders Justin Smoak and Reese Havens before being arrested and kicked off the team for theft. He then spent a year at Pitt CC (NC) and the Indians made him their first round pick (29th Overall) in 2008. He should spend most of 2011 on a prospect laden AAA Columbus team that will include 2B Jason Kipnis, RHP Alex White and OF Nick Weglarz.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

EL

AA

117

460

81

128

22

3

17

84

3

46

77

.278

.351

.450

3. Miguel Sano – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’3″ 230 – MIN – 5.11.93. The Twins inked the then 16 year-old Sano to a $3.15 MM bonus largely because of his power potential. Sano didn’t disappoint in his first professional season posting an .870 OPS while showing more patience than I anticipated.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

DSL

Rk

20

64

11

22

2

1

3

10

2

14

17

.344

.463

.547

2010

GCL

Rk

41

148

23

43

14

0

4

19

2

10

43

.291

.338

.466

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

61

212

34

65

16

1

7

29

4

24

60

.307

.379

.491

4. Zack Cox – Bats: L Throws: R – 6’0″ 215 – STL – 5.9.89. A University of Arkansas product, Cox was the best college bat in the 2009 draft but because of the leverage afforded to the draft eligible sophomore coupled with his high price tag, the Cardinals were able to steal him with the 25th overall pick and sign him for $2,000,000. There is no doubt that the former pitcher has the arm for 3B but the other aspects of his defense will be tested.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

GCL

Rk

4

15

0

6

1

0

0

1

0

1

3

.400

.471

.467


5. Nolan Arenado – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’1″ 205 – COL – 4.16.91. The 2009 2nd round pick out of a California high school earned high marks in his 203 professional AB’s that season by posting a 0.89 BB/K%. While that number took a nose dive to 0.37 in 2010, he showed tremendous power by smacking 41 doubles in just 92 games while keeping his strikeouts in check.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SAL

A-

92

373

45

115

41

1

12

65

1

19

52

.308

.338

.520


6. Matt Dominguez – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’1″ 205 – FLA – 8.28.89. Dominguez was the High School teammate of the prospect that led off this list, Mike Moustakas. Like Moustakas, Dominguez was a first round pick (12th overall) in 2007. Matt’s glove work is so prodigious that I believe if he can continue to produce acceptable offensive numbers, he could have a 10 year career as an MLB regular.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SO

AA

138

504

61

127

34

2

14

81

0

56

96

.252

.333

.411

7. Nick Castellanos – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’4″ 195 – DET – 3.4.92. Bonus demands dropped Castellanos to the supplemental round but the right team took a chance on him. The Tigers are becoming renown for opening up their pocket books to sign draftees and they spent a supplemental round record $3.45 MM to sign Castellanos away from a Miami (FL) commitment. It’s too early to use his small sample of professional at bats to make a any projections, but he profiles as a power bat with the ability to stay at 3B.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

GCL

Rk

7

24

5

8

2

0

0

3

0

4

5

.333

.414

.417

8. Kaleb Cowart – Bats: B Throws: R – 6’3″ 190 – LAA – 6.2.92. As a two way standout from Georgia, Cowart was the 2010 Baseball America High School Player of the Year and the Angles took notice and made him the 18th overall pick. He’ll focus on hitting as a professional where he’s projected to have plus power.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

ARI

RK

6

21

0

3

0

0

0

4

0

0

6

.143

.136

.148

2010

PIO

RK

1

5

1

2

0

0

1

3

0

1

2

.400

.500

1.000

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

7

26

1

5

0

0

1

7

0

1

8

.192

.214

.308

9. Brent Morel – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’2″ 220 – CWS – 4.21.87. Morel was a 3rd round pick out of Cal Poly in 2008 despite not being a top 200 draft prospect that year, but he’s been a steady performer since signing for $440,000. Though he hasn’t hit more than 16 HR in a season as professional, Morel’s 40 doubles and 58 XBH in 2010 prove he should provide no lower than average power at his position.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SO

AA

49

184

25

60

13

1

2

30

5

14

36

.326

.376

.440

2010

IL

AAA

81

306

40

98

24

4

8

34

3

13

50

.320

.348

.503

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

130

490

65

158

37

5

10

64

8

27

86

.322

.359

.480

2010

AL

MLB

21

65

9

15

3

0

3

7

2

4

17

.231

.271

.271

10. Kolbrin Vitek – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’2″ 195 – BOS – 4.1.89. Though he played 2B and 3B at Ball State, many projected Vitek to move to the outfield as a professional, but he’s played strictly 3B thus far. The Red Sox used the 20th overall pick in 2010 on Vitek and signed him quickly for the MLB slot recommendation $1.36MM. Vitek has the speed, quickness and arm strength to stay at 3B.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

NYP

Rk

56

204

30

55

13

3

4

30

13

26

61

.270

.360

.422

2010

SAL

A-

12

40

7

11

3

1

0

3

4

7

13

.275

.383

.400

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

68

244

37

66

16

4

4

33

17

33

74

.270

.364

.418

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8WGZV5AC2DPP

2011 Top 10 Shortstop Prospects

Manny Machado

Manny Machado Photo by Ren Dittfield

The position of shortstop in professional baseball has become a virtual melting pot and this list captures a sample of that international diversity. We have five players born in the continental United States, one from Puerto Rico, one from Japan, a Venezuelan, a Cuban and another from Curacao.


1. Manny Machado – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’3″ 185 – BAL – 7.6.92. The third overall selection in the 2010 draft, Machado draws comparisons to Alex Rodriguez for body type and offensive potential but more accurately because, like Rodriguez, Machado was a Miami area prep superstar. Machado, a High School All American hit .639 with 27 2B and 12 HR in 2010 and gave up a scholarship to Florida International to sign with the Orioles for $5.25 MM at the deadline.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

GLF

Rk

2

7

1

1

0

0

1

2

0

0

1

.143

.143

.571

2010

NYP

A-

7

29

2

10

1

1

0

3

0

3

2

.345

.406

.448

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

9

36

3

11

1

1

1

5

0

3

3

.306

.356

.472

2. Grant Green – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’3″ 180 – OAK – 9.27.87. The 13th overall pick in the 2009 draft out of USC, Green debuted at #5 on this list last year then proceeded to tear up the California League. While Green’s season was no doubt a success, it left me with plenty of questions. His K% was a high but not alarming 21.4% but coupled with his below average 6.3 BB% we are left with a piss poor 0.32 BB/K%. You might be able to get away with that in the free swinging hitters paradise of the Cal League but it may lead to a regression next year in the Texas League. Defensively, Green committed a league high 37 errors.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

CAL

A+

131

548

107

174

39

6

20

87

9

38

117

.318

.363

.520

3. Jose Iglesias – Bats: R Throws: R – 5’11” 175 – BOS – 1.5.90. Iglesias could step into Fenway Park right now and wow spectators with his phenomenal glove work. The Cuban defector spent his first year in professional in the AA Eastern League where mangers voted him the league’s best defensive shortstop. Like many Latin American prospects, Iglesias doesn’t take enough walks. If he can be more patient in AAA Pawtucket he should finish 2011 in Boston.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

NYP

A-

12

40

8

14

2

2

0

7

2

7

8

.350

.458

.500

2010

EL

AA

57

221

29

63

19

3

0

13

5

8

49

.285

.315

.357

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

70

281

37

77

12

5

0

20

7

15

57

.295

.339

.379

4. Nick Franklin – Bats: B Throws: R – 6’1″ 170 – SEA – 3.2.91. I regarded Franklin as the 3rd best prep shortstop in the 2009 draft behind Houston’s Gio Mier and Baltimore’s Mychal Givens, and both Mier and Givens made my list last year while Franklin was snubbed. I clearly picked the wrong horse as Franklin tore up the Midwest League and was named to Baseball America’s Minor League All-Star Team.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

MWL

A-

129

513

89

144

22

7

23

65

25

50

123

.281

.351

.485

2010

SO

AA

1

3

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

.667

.750

.667

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

130

516

92

146

22

7

23

65

25

51

124

.283

.354

.485

5. Jurickson Profar – Bats: B Throws: R – 5’11” 165 – TEX – 2.20.93. If you are a little league baseball fan or just a channel surfing pedophile, you might remember Profar from the 2004 Little League World Series where his Curacao squadron took home the championship. A former pitcher, Profar has the arm strength and athleticism to be a plus defender at short, and he walks at an above average rate (9.7%) so I like his chances to become an MLB regular.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

TEX

A-

63

252

42

63

19

0

4

23

8

28

46

.250

.323

.373

6. Devaris Gordon – Bats: L Throws: R – 5’11” 150 – LAD – 4.22.88. Dee ranked #6 on this list last year and responded by having a solid year in AA. If you recall (and I’m sure you do), I predicted that because of Gordon’s unusually high BABIP in 2008 (.368) and 2009 (.355), he’d likely see a dip in numbers in 2010. As predicted, his “slash” line did decrease from .301/.362/.394 in ’09 to .276/.331/.353 in ’10. While we’re at it, his SB’s went from 73 to 53 and he committed a career high 37 SB. It’s not all bad. Southern League managers voted Gordon the Best Baserunner, Fastest Baserunner and the league’s Most Exciting Player.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SO

AA

133

555

86

154

17

10

2

39

53

40

89

.277

.332

.355

7. Christian Colon – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’1″ 180 – KC – 5.14.89. Although he was a clear cut top half of the first round pick, it was a little bit of a surprise to see the Royals use the 4th overall pick on Colon. The Cal State Fullerton product has limited tools and may be best suited for second base. That position move may happen sooner rather than later now that the Royals have acquired Alcides Escobar.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

CAR

A+

60

245

38

68

12

2

3

30

2

13

33

.278

.326

.380

8. Wilmer Flores – Bats: R Throws: R – 6’3″ 175 – NYM – 8.6.91. Signed out of Venezuela in 2007, Flores has been on the prospect radar longer than most 19 year olds. Flores was always projected to have plus power but I was a doubter as he slugged just .332 in 2009. Now that he’s posted a 36 2B, 84 RBI season I guess I’m back on board.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

SAL

A-

66

277

30

77

18

2

7

44

2

23

37

.278

.342

.433

2010

FSL

A+

67

277

32

83

18

1

4

40

2

9

40

.300

.324

.415

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

133

554

62

160

36

3

11

84

4

32

84

.289

.333

.424

9. Danny Espinosa – Bats: B Throws: R – 6’0″ 190 – WAS – 4.25.87. Nothing about Espinosa really stands out to me, but that’s not a bad thing as he does everything just fine. He did produce 28 HR and 25 SB between his minor and major league stops in 2010. That should be enough to give him a leg up on the second base job in Washington this season.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2010

EL

AA

99

386

66

101

16

4

18

54

20

33

94

.262

.334

.464

2010

IL

AAA

24

95

14

28

2

1

4

15

5

8

22

.295

.349

.463

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

123

481

80

129

18

5

22

69

25

41

116

.268

.337

.464

2010

NL

MLB

28

103

16

22

4

1

6

15

0

2

9

.214

.277

.447

10. Tsuyoshi Nishioka – Bats: B Throws: R. – 5’11” 175 – MIN – 7.27.84. Sure Nichioka will likely play second base for the Twins as some question whether Nishioka has the arm strength to be an MLB shortstop. Alexi Casilla may start the season at short, but the lack of potency in his bat may send him back to a more property suited utility role causing Nishioka to get some reps at shortstop.

Year

LG

Level

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

K

AVE

OBP

SLG

2007

JPL

NPBL

130

494

76

148

31

3

3

40

27

50

73

.300

.366

.393

2008

JPL

NPBL

116

473

78

142

26

6

13

49

18

36

68

.300

.357

.463

2009

JPL

NPBL

120

454

70

118

24

5

14

41

26

67

76

.260

.360

.427

2010

JPL

NPBL

144

596

121

206

32

8

11

59

33

79

?

.346

.423

.482